Jobs

Friday was a great day for the markets. The trade tariffs were enacted but the market was up thanks to a good jobs number. There were 213,000 jobs created last month. Also, the unemployment rate actually rose to 4%. However, this is not necessarily a bad thing. More than 600,000 Americans have come back into the workforce. This is wonderful for a mature business cycle and shows people are confident in the economy. Earnings season should kick into gear this week. As long as the domestic economy remains strong and earnings continue to come in positive, it should outweigh any trade war talks.

Wages

One of the things we are watching with the jobs numbers is that wages don’t seem to be rising at a rate one might expect. We have only seen, year over year, a 2.7% increase in wages. This is almost right in line with costs. Wages can’t increase faster than costs which limits the next leg in this economy. People are making as well as spending more money. As unemployment is dropping, we are watching to see if money will make its way back into employees’ pockets.

Bank Lending

Bank growth, year over year, was very good for the second quarter, up 5.5%. This percentage is significantly better than the end of 2017 in which it was at 1%. Small banks and mid-size banks are lending to smaller companies. Companies are buying equipment which means that the appreciation portion of the tax reform is kicking in. Also, they are using lines of credit to acquire people. This suggests that owner managed businesses are showing confidence.

 

Greg Powell, CIMA®
President and CEO
Wealth Consultant
Email Greg Powell here

Bobby Norman, CFP®, AIF®
Senior Vice President
Wealth Consultant
Email Bobby Norman here

Ashley Page, JD, MBA
Senior Vice President
Wealth Consultant
Email Ashley Page here

Trey Booth, CFA®, AIF®
Senior Vice President
Wealth Consultant
Email Trey Booth here

 

Fi Plan Partners is an independent investment firm in Birmingham, AL, serving clients across the nation through financial planning, wealth management and business consulting. Fi Plan Partners creates strategies in the best interest of their clients using both fee based investing and transactional investing.

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly.

Economic forecasts set forth in this presentation may not develop as predicted.

No strategy can ensure success or protect against a loss.
Stock investing involves risk including potential loss of principal.

Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC and a registered investment advisor.

#288 Three Financial Forces #286 Tariffs Then, Tariffs Now